Monday, November 24, 2008

Should Detroit Automakers Be Allowed To Fail?

There are many arguments in favor of allowing Detroit's "Big Three" automakers to fail, forcing them either into Chapter 11 (reorganiation) or Chapter 7 (liquidation) bankruptcy. No one can deny that GM, Ford and Chrysler have been environmentally irresponsible, promoting gas guzzling SUVs instead of investing in new, fuel efficient technologies so desired in today's market place driven by high gasoline prices.

Yet Detroit cannot be blamed for feeding America's fuel gluttony, anymore than McDonald's or Burger King can be held totally accountable for Americans' insatiable appetite for ever larger portions of unhealthy food. An American truism is that "bigger is better", whether it be cars, meals, homes, television screens, or the size of the local supermarket.

Nor can the United Auto Workers be held entirely to blame for the automakers' current financial straits. While it's true that union employee health benefits add an estimated $1,700 to the cost of each vehicle manufactured by the "Big Three", that's a cost imposed by our society's refusal to provide government funded, universal health care, a benefit enjoyed by workers in most other industrialized countries. Relieved of the cost of health care benefits, Detroits' automakers would earn roughly $900 per vehicle manufactured, as opposed to its current per vehicle loss of $800.

Former U.S. Senator and Secretary of Energy Spencer Abraham makes a good case for saving Detroit in a column in today's New York Times:

For Detroit, Chapter 11 Would Be The Final Chapter

MANY commentators and members of Congress have declared that the best hope for the Big Three auto companies is to declare bankruptcy. Airlines have gone through bankruptcy and adjusted, after all, so why can’t carmakers?

This comparison is appealing, but flawed. Almost every carmaker that has ever gone bankrupt has disappeared for good. And there is no reason to believe the Big Three would not do the same. Chapter 11 filing would almost surely lead to liquidation.

Just as financial institutions depend on the confidence of those with whom they do business (as Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers discovered), automakers depend on the confidence of car buyers. To purchase a car is to make a multiyear commitment: the buyer must have confidence that the manufacturer will survive to provide parts and service under warranty. With a declaration of bankruptcy, that confidence evaporates. Eighty percent of consumers would not even consider buying a car or truck from a bankrupt manufacturer, one recent survey indicates. So once a bankruptcy proceeding got started, the company’s revenue would plummet, leading it to hemorrhage cash to cover its high fixed costs. ...continue reading




Detroit makes its own case in the following video:


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